← Wallets
−$4,163No · avg 77¢ → 53¢ · $9,097+$794No · avg 18¢ → 26¢ · $2,504−$2,390No · avg 44¢ → 22¢ · $2,474+$32Yes · avg 94.9¢ → 96.5¢ · $1,980+$1No · avg 97.8¢ → 98¢ · $632−$3Yes · avg 67¢ → 66¢ · $336+$15Yes · avg 80¢ → 90¢ · $133+$7Kane · avg 65¢ → 82¢ · $33
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -13.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-13.3 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$2.17M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$330.6k
Last 30 days −$443.1k · $51.25M volume · 49,543 trades · since May 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$5.40M
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$131.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
536d
2685 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | -13.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 83¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
 Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenko | LOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 30¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenko | MED BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 45¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
 Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee | LOW BUY Delaware @ 52¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
 Bills vs. Rams | MED SELL Bills @ 91¢ | $90.3k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Bills @ 49¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY KT Rolster @ 71¢ | $35.5k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | MED BUY Falcons @ 63¢ | $50.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 72¢ | $50.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars | MED BUY Jaguars @ 68¢ | $56.3k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | MED SELL Buccaneers @ 80¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina | LOW BUY Dalibor Svrcina @ 92¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Lions @ 66¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
 Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 64¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 61¢ | $63.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | LOW BUY Cardinals @ 64¢ | $34.2k | excluded |
| Titans vs. Ravens | LOW BUY Ravens @ 87¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Washington vs. USC | MED SELL USC @ 78¢ | $53.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Washington vs. USC | MED BUY USC @ 65¢ | $59.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 61¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Eagles @ 64¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | MED BUY Clement Tabur @ 66¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | MED BUY Broncos @ 50¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | LOW BUY Ravens @ 56¢ | $45.4k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | LOW SELL Cowboys @ 45¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | LOW BUY Cowboys @ 61¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | LOW SELL Ravens @ 85¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Raiders vs. Saints | LOW BUY Saints @ 63¢ | $18.9k | missed |
| Texas A&M vs. LSU | LOW BUY LSU @ 78¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics | MED SELL Houston Astros @ 88¢ | $84.4k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics | MED BUY Houston Astros @ 74¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 80¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 63¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 66¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Titans | LOW SELL Eagles @ 99.9¢ | $121.5k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Eagles vs. Titans | MED BUY Eagles @ 69¢ | $34.7k | excluded |
| Fresno State vs. San Jose State | LOW BUY Fresno State @ 68¢ | $31.5k | excluded |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss | MED BUY LSU @ 48¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss | LOW BUY LSU @ 57¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $105.6k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | MED BUY Movistar KOI @ 61¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers | LOW BUY Chargers @ 79¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 72¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 52¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Rams | LOW BUY 49ers @ 89¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | MED BUY Botic van de Zandschulp @ 78¢ | $46.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW BUY Arthur Gea @ 90¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina | MED BUY Luciano Darderi @ 55¢ | $56.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 42¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies | MED SELL Baltimore Orioles @ 79¢ | $56.8k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies | LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 83¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 54¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli | LOW BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 63¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 88¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Team Spirit @ 82¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
 Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW SELL Legacy @ 23¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED BUY Team Spirit @ 71¢ | $63.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 65¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Liquid @ 38¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 53¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED BUY TEAM VISION @ 64¢ | $25.4k | called |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY BoomBoys @ 56¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED BUY Iron Wing @ 75¢ | $28.1k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | MED SELL Iron Wing @ 72¢ | $39.1k | excluded |
 UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Dricus Du Plessis @ 67¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 87¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
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