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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY Yes @ 90.9¢ · 13,907 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 3648393489047 took Yes (buy) for $12.6k at an average 90.9¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1000American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90.9¢
- Implied odds
- 90.9%
- As American odds
- −1000 no vig
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Oct 14, 16:51 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 3648393489047
- Tx
- 0xeb184e79…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-13.3 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $3.22M | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $41.7k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 93.7¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 91.8¢ | $35.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $19.3k | excluded |