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What this means. A wallet put $15.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.4k
BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ · 16,272 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 3648393489047 took Yes (buy) for $15.4k at an average 94.9¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1860American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.9¢
- Implied odds
- 94.9%
- As American odds
- −1860 no vig
- Size
- $15.4k
- Placed
- Aug 24, 16:52 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 3648393489047
- Tx
- 0xca0a9e80…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-13.3 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $43.9k | missed |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY No @ 50¢ | $99.4k 3.5× usual |
missed |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $148.9k | called |