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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +16.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+16.0 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$209.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$28.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.69M volume · 1,630 trades · since Aug 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$415.9k
Open P&L · 38 positions
−$383.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
50 closed
Wallet age · markets
67d
88 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | +16.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $67.0k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $98.3k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $43.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6c557d…