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What this means. A wallet put $99.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$99.4k
BUY No @ 50¢ · 198,887 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet predictionlegend took No (buy) for $99.4k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $99.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $99.4k
- Placed
- Aug 24, 13:49 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- predictionlegend
- Tx
- 0x6c8f1ff5…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-47.3 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsNo price · entry 50¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $43.9k | missed |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $148.9k | called |