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Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $20.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded$20.4k
BUY Yes @ 96¢ · 21,257 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 3648393489047 took Yes (buy) for $20.4k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2428American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 96.0%
- As American odds
- −2428 no vig
- Size
- $20.4k
- Placed
- Jul 10, 16:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 3648393489047
- Tx
- 0xce445eff…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-13.3 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $57.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $21.9k | excluded |