Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $3.01M 73 flags |
$626.4k 4 wallets |
$29.8k 1 wallet |
| No | $1.06M 18 flags |
$131.3k 1 wallet |
$19.0k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $923.1k 36 flags |
$22.5k 1 wallet |
$76.3k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $43.5k 3 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $57.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $126.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 91.6¢ | $76.3k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $31.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 95.5¢ | $34.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 92.4¢ | $35.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 95.2¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 91¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90.8¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $38.3k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 90.4¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 90.1¢ | $180.5k 6.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90.2¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90.3¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90.4¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| HIGH SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90.1¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 90¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 39¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 59¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $79.8k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 48¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 52¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $225.6k 8.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 54¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 44¢ | $272.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $60.0k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 28¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 40¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $58.8k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $75.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $162.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $43.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 41¢ | $216.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $105.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $39.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $70.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $40.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $79.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $52.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $66.9k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 39¢ | $86.2k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $10.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $18.3k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $164.3k 2.1× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 39¢ | $19.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 39¢ | $39.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $20.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 39¢ | $38.4k 2.0× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $11.9k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 61¢ | $61.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $41.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $13.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $97.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $53.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $43.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $31.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $13.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $19.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $15.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $12.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $29.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $24.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $18.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $10.2k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $127.4k 3.9× usual |
called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $273.5k 2.1× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $18.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $20.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $59.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $29.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $36.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $17.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $11.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $12.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $20.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $11.7k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 130 whale trades on this market totalling $5.04M from 98 wallets. The largest was $273.5k (buy Yes at 60¢). Most whale money ($3.01M) went to Yes. 76 of 130 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, swisstony ($537.4k), has called 51 of 62 graded flags overall (+10.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10-esp).