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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +32.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+32.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$99.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$133.6k
Last 30 days −$21 · $3.50M volume · 11,642 trades · since Aug 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$299.5k
Open P&L · 255 positions
−$188.9k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
797d
1186 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 85¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $18.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x30d5a7…