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Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.0 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded$11.8k
SELL Yes @ 80¢ · 14,818 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took Yes (sell) for $11.8k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $11.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 20.5%
- As American odds
- +389 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Jul 10, 15:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0x3ca41d85…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+0.0 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -20 ptsYes price · entry 80¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $57.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $21.9k | excluded |