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Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded$15.6k
SELL Yes @ 91¢ · 17,187 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xf271…acf2 took Yes (sell) for $15.6k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 9.0%
- As American odds
- +1010 no vig
- Size
- $15.6k
- Placed
- Jul 10, 16:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xf271…acf2
- Tx
- 0x68541fec…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-5.2 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $57.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $21.9k | excluded |