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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$502.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$501.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.19M volume · 4,528 trades · since Jun 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.10M
Open P&L · 25 positions
−$1.58M
Closed-position win rate
91%
32 closed
Wallet age · markets
122d
56 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | MED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 71¢ | $78.2k | excluded |
 Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 68¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | MED BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $152.1k | excluded |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | MED BUY Canada @ 72¢ | $219.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4d4f13…