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Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded$30.0k
BUY Yes @ 60¢ · 50,170 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Themsnw took Yes (buy) for $30.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−149American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 59.8%
- As American odds
- −149 no vig
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Jul 10, 15:09 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Themsnw
- Tx
- 0x7a9e6c70…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-5.1 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsYes price · entry 60¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $57.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $21.9k | excluded |