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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +7.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+7.6 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$180.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$71.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $419.1k volume · 14 trades · since Jul 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$92.8k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$20.4k
Closed-position win rate
80%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
106d
9 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 0.8 | +7.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: France (-1.5) | LOW BUY France @ 20¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 65¢ | $100.0k | called |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $70.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4a18ec…