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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -46.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-46.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$107.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$50.4k
Last 30 days −$398 · $2.48M volume · 1,309 trades · since Jun 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$79.7k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$24.1k
Closed-position win rate
67%
257 closed
Wallet age · markets
120d
282 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.9 | -46.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 52¢ | $13.0k | missed |
| LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW SELL T1 @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 41¢ | $20.5k | missed |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 86¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢ | $20.7k | called |
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