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What this means. A wallet put $20.5k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.5k
BUY Argentina @ 41¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Boned took Argentina (buy) for $20.5k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $20.5k
- Placed
- Jul 18, 02:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Boned
- Tx
- 0x27769339…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-46.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -41 ptsArgentina price · entry 41¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |