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What this means. A wallet put $29.8k on not Spain, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.8k
SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ · 29,867 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet tennischamp took Spain (sell) for $29.8k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $29.8k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 18:17 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- tennischamp
- Tx
- 0x86d81cf4…
This wallet's graded record
5/6+12.3 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |