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What this means. A wallet put $52.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded
$52.3k
BUY No @ 40¢ · 130,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet mulkiyeli1907 took No (buy) for $52.3k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $52.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+148American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.2%
As American odds
+148 no vig
Size
$52.3k
Placed
Jul 10, 14:08 EDT
Market close
Jul 10, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
mulkiyeli1907
Tx
0x22cf3a49…

Entry to resolution

Grade -40 pts
No price · entry 40¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $52.3k WHALE $52.3K @ 40¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $11.0k0% anon.1980.123105d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $57.4k
3.4× usual
0% nachito77105d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $18.1k0% DegenKingBetter105d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $10.1k0% Bigbadwolf1105d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $15.5k0% loiong105d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $21.9k0% stockpicks105d agoexcluded