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Chiefs vs. Raidersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $143.9k on Raiders, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$143.9k
BUY Raiders @ 32¢ · 449,637 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoii took Raiders (buy) for $143.9k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $143.9k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Raiders wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 32.0%
- As American odds
- +212 no vig
- Size
- $143.9k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 16:20 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 16:25 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoii
- Tx
- 0x7da698a7…
This wallet's graded record
6/11-0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -32 ptsRaiders price · entry 32¢ · resolved Chiefs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $18.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 87¢ | $24.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 98¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99¢ | $70.4k | excluded |