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What this means. A wallet put $143.9k on Raiders, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Chiefs vs. Raidersexcluded
$143.9k
BUY Raiders @ 32¢ · 449,637 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.6× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet mooseborzoii took Raiders (buy) for $143.9k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $143.9k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Raiders wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
32¢
Implied odds
32.0%
As American odds
+212 no vig
Size
$143.9k
Placed
Oct 04, 16:20 EDT
Market close
Oct 04, 16:25 EDT
Result
Chiefs
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
mooseborzoii
Tx
0x7da698a7…
This wallet's graded record
6/11-0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -32 pts
Raiders price · entry 32¢ · resolved Chiefs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 32¢ · $143.9k WHALE $143.9K @ 32¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Chiefs vs. RaidersLOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ $18.1k0% Kkunn19d agoexcluded
Chiefs vs. RaidersLOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% 0x548a…e58a19d agoexcluded
Chiefs vs. RaidersLOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ $14.7k100% one8tyfive19d agoexcluded
Chiefs vs. RaidersLOW BUY Chiefs @ 87¢ $24.1k87% wan12319d agoexcluded
Chiefs vs. RaidersLOW BUY Chiefs @ 98¢ $11.0k98% 0x548a…e58a19d agoexcluded
Chiefs vs. RaidersLOW SELL Chiefs @ 99¢ $70.4k1% Gulvisa819d agoexcluded