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0x3mf379C47E653dafa15384

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -18.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

Mavericks · Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing   Other side: 2 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
-18.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$372.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$72.3k
Last 30 days +$31.3k · $10.29M volume · 15,757 trades · since Sep 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$531.7k
Open P&L · 15 positions
+$9,642
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
771d
1016 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.9+11.0 pts
Sports100.5-47.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Warriors vs. SunsMED BUY Suns @ 75¢ $32.1k75% 4m agopending
Pelicans vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Pelicans @ 66¢ $27.2k66% 1h agopending
Heat vs. HornetsLOW BUY Hornets @ 99.9¢ $11.7k100% 2h agoexcluded
Bucks vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 89¢ $30.7k89% 3h agoexcluded
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)LOW BUY Mavericks @ 42¢ $16.1k42% 4h agopending
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 47¢ $12.5k47% 5h agomissed
Knicks vs. CelticsLOW BUY Celtics @ 85¢ $33.3k
2.0× usual
85% 1d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ $14.4k82% 1d agoexcluded
Warriors vs. LakersLOW BUY Lakers @ 87¢ $19.6k87% 3d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW SELL Broncos @ 85¢ $16.4k15% 26d agoexcluded
LSU vs. Ole MissLOW BUY LSU @ 57¢ $10.7k57% 35d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Nuggets @ 59¢ $10.1k59% 241d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $39.9k
2.4× usual
0% 265d agoexcluded
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $12.4k89% 280d agocalled
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $37.8k
2.3× usual
1% 300d agoexcluded
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $14.4k99% 316d agoexcluded
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $32.9k
2.0× usual
99% 318d agoexcluded

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