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Polymarket · Economy · one bet
Missed
$55.1k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
allen111 sold Yes at 94.8¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 5% chance. 58,142 shares, Oct 28, 09:28 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $55.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet allen111 sold Yes for $55.1k at an average 94.8¢. At that price the market implied 5% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -5.2 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $55.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEconomy
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -5 ptsYes price · entry 94.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysFederal Reserve issues FOMC statementFederal Reserve · 21h agoFed holds interest rates steady even as inflation remains stubbornNPR · 21h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $56.2k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $51.2k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k 2.0× usual |
Excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | Excluded |