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Polymarket · Economy · one bet

Called
$84.9k

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

elmcap2 bought Yes at 96.9¢. The price gave that side a 97% chance. 87,584 shares, 2 fills, Oct 28, 13:49 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $84.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet elmcap2 bought Yes for $84.9k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied 97% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +3.1 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $84.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1h2.1× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3123American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
Yes price · entry 96.9¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 96.9¢ · $84.9k WHALE $84.9K @ 96.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by The Bank of Nova ScotiaFederal Reserve · 5h agoFederal Reserve issues FOMC statementFederal Reserve · 1d agoFed holds interest rates steady even as inflation remains stubbornNPR · 1d ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $56.2k0% 0xcb2c…4b431d agoExcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.3k0% nickcoast1d agoExcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $51.2k0% samskisy1d agoExcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% hu16pmt1d agoExcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.1k
2.0× usual
0% MJB1d agoExcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $65.7k0% hoe20mprt1d agoExcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$56.2k
LOW 0xcb2c…4b43 · 1d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$11.3k
LOW nickcoast · 1d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$51.2k
LOW samskisy · 1d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$16.6k
LOW hu16pmt · 1d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$26.1k
LOW MJB · 1d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$65.7k
LOW hoe20mprt · 1d ago