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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -51.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-51.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$2.79M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$832.2k
Last 30 days −$462.9k · $11.05M volume · 15,154 trades · since Oct 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.85M
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$1.98M
Closed-position win rate
73%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
7d
27 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | -51.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x57a859…