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Pelicans vs. Jazzmissed
What this means. A wallet put $73.5k on Pelicans, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$73.5k
BUY Pelicans @ 49¢ · 150,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet Mooseborzoiii took Pelicans (buy) for $73.5k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Jazz, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $73.5k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Pelicans wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $73.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 20:09 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Jazz
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Mooseborzoiii
- Tx
- 0xe8748d50…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-51.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsPelicans price · entry 49¢ · resolved Jazz
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY Jazz @ 79¢ | $54.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Jazz @ 74¢ | $16.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Jazz @ 50¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pelicans @ 51¢ | $60.0k 3.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Pelicans @ 50¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Jazz @ 51¢ | $12.5k | called |