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What this means. A wallet put $73.5k on Pelicans, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Pelicans vs. Jazzmissed
$73.5k
BUY Pelicans @ 49¢ · 150,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet Mooseborzoiii took Pelicans (buy) for $73.5k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Jazz, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $73.5k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Pelicans wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
As American odds
+104 no vig
Size
$73.5k
Placed
Oct 23, 20:09 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 21:30 EDT
Result
Jazz
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Mooseborzoiii
Tx
0xe8748d50…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-51.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -49 pts
Pelicans price · entry 49¢ · resolved Jazz
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $73.5k WHALE $73.5K @ 49¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Pelicans vs. JazzMED BUY Jazz @ 79¢ $54.1k79% 0x2c33…05633h agoexcluded
Pelicans vs. JazzLOW BUY Jazz @ 74¢ $16.1k74% FlamePyro3h agoexcluded
Pelicans vs. JazzLOW BUY Jazz @ 50¢ $10.0k50% Paracellus5h agoexcluded
Pelicans vs. JazzLOW BUY Pelicans @ 51¢ $60.0k
3.0× usual
51% tiger1055h agoexcluded
Pelicans vs. JazzMED BUY Pelicans @ 50¢ $20.0k50% Mooseborzoiii NEW5h agoexcluded
Pelicans vs. JazzLOW BUY Jazz @ 51¢ $12.5k51% gmpm28h agocalled