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What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.0k
BUY Over @ 49¢ · 51,020 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet BrotherObama took Over (buy) for $25.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $25.0k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 17:03 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BrotherObama
- Tx
- 0x7d5fcb2a…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-49.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsOver price · entry 49¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Under @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | Excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 53¢ | $16.2k | Called |