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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$29.4k

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

mbmbbbmbv bought Spirit at 71¢. The price gave that side a 71% chance. 41,627 shares, Oct 28, 10:41 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $29.4k on Spirit, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet mbmbbbmbv bought Spirit for $29.4k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied 71% for the side they took. The market resolved Natus Vincere, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -70.6 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $29.4k+1
Size ≥ $10kSports
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−241American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spirit wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -71 pts
Spirit price · entry 71¢ · resolved Natus Vincere
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 71¢ · $29.4k WHALE $29.4K @ 71¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageLOW SELL Spirit @ 64¢ $32.0k36% ZANOVO20h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageLOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 56¢ $12.5k56% Nooserac20h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageMED BUY Natus Vincere @ 59¢ $75.5k
3.1× usual
59% omnibus-076daa21h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageLOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 43¢ $14.1k43% 0xf559…f46222h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageLOW BUY Spirit @ 71¢ $30.1k71% fantasy778822h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageLOW BUY Spirit @ 71¢ $20.0k71% salgnklasf22h agoExcluded