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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$14.1k

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

0xf559…f462 bought Natus Vincere at 43¢. The price gave that side a 43% chance. 32,898 shares, Oct 28, 12:15 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $14.1k on Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market resolved Natus Vincere, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0xf559…f462 bought Natus Vincere for $14.1k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied 43% for the side they took. The market resolved Natus Vincere. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 2 of 4 on graded bets, -5.1 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $14.1k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Natus Vincere wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +57 pts
Natus Vincere price · entry 43¢ · resolved Natus Vincere
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $14.1k WHALE $14.1K @ 43¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

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