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+$6Under · avg 46¢ → 46¢ · $570
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -56.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-56.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$16.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$32.6k
Last 30 days −$26.1k · $1.41M volume · 1,771 trades · since Jul 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$241.0k
Open P&L · 73 positions
−$271.2k
Closed-position win rate
80%
109 closed
Wallet age · markets
112d
181 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -56.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢ | $16.2k | Missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x974cf2…