← Wallets
−$347LYON · avg 46¢ → 46¢ · $34.2k+$709No · avg 72¢ → 79¢ · $7,977−$607No · avg 61¢ → 56¢ · $6,130−$270CTBC Flying Oyster · avg 33¢ → 32¢ · $5,670−$1,869No · avg 33¢ → 24¢ · $4,564+$259Yes · avg 66¢ → 74¢ · $2,533+$1,988Yes · avg 1.1¢ → 10¢ · $2,228 · 0 proven with, 1 against−$1,890Yamal · avg 48¢ → 24¢ · $1,960
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +19.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+19.1 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$1.29M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$255.1k
Last 30 days −$58.8k · $47.81M volume · 37,493 trades · since Dec 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$8.06M
Open P&L · 44 positions
−$8,831
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
297d
1205 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | +19.1 pts |
History
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