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Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Missed
$40.7k
Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)
Kch-Temp bought New Mexico State at 54¢. The price gave that side a 54% chance. 75,321 shares, Oct 28, 10:07 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $40.7k on New Mexico State, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Kch-Temp bought New Mexico State for $40.7k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied 54% for the side they took. The market resolved Jacksonville State, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, +0.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
Size ≥ $10kSports
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if New Mexico State wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -54 ptsNew Mexico State price · entry 54¢ · resolved Jacksonville State
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jacksonville State @ 46¢ | $13.1k | Excluded |