← Wallets
+$22.1kLSU · avg 57¢ → 93.5¢ · $55.9k+$1,708Spurs · avg 55¢ → 56¢ · $50.2k · 2 proven with, 0 against+$3,264Under · avg 52¢ → 57¢ · $36.8k−$245Heat · avg 54¢ → 54¢ · $34.9k−$330Utah · avg 53¢ → 52¢ · $34.6k+$14.9kCincinnati · avg 56¢ → 97.8¢ · $34.6k+$14.9kCincinnati · avg 49¢ → 97¢ · $30.3k−$1,337New Mexico · avg 52¢ → 50¢ · $29.4k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -27.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Spurs · Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
Same side: 2 proven · 0 losing Other side: 0 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
-27.2 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$324.8k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$313.2k
Last 30 days +$312.2k · $3.86M volume · 1,057 trades · since Sep 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$825.9k
Open P&L · 68 positions
−$424.8k
Closed-position win rate
87%
79 closed
Wallet age · markets
26d
147 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 1 | 2.1 | -27.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Heat (-2.5) | MED BUY Heat @ 54¢ | $30.8k | pending |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | LOW BUY Spurs @ 54¢ | $31.0k | pending |
 San Diego State vs. Colorado State: O/U 61.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 55¢ | $13.5k | pending |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) | LOW BUY Heat @ 51¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) | LOW BUY Kings @ 53¢ | $11.3k | called |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) | LOW BUY UCF @ 57¢ | $10.5k | pending |
| Spread: Alabama (-13.5) | LOW BUY Alabama @ 52¢ | $10.1k | pending |
| Spread: Utah (-6.5) | LOW BUY Utah @ 53¢ | $35.0k 2.0× usual |
pending |
| Spread: South Carolina (-1.5) | LOW BUY South Carolina @ 54¢ | $20.6k | pending |
| Spread: LSU (-6.5) | MED BUY LSU @ 56¢ | $30.7k | pending |
| Spread: LSU (-7.5) | LOW BUY LSU @ 48¢ | $10.2k | pending |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas | LOW BUY Texas @ 61¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| Spread: Texas (-3.5) | LOW BUY Texas @ 49¢ | $17.1k | pending |
| Spread: Texas (-2.5) | LOW BUY Texas @ 58¢ | $18.3k | pending |
| Spread: Liberty (-10.5) | LOW BUY Kennesaw State @ 55¢ | $19.1k | missed |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) | LOW BUY Spurs @ 52¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Jets @ 51¢ | $31.9k | missed |
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