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Spread: Pistons (-1.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on Heat, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)missed$10.4k
BUY Heat @ 51¢ · 20,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet ArielFilipino took Heat (buy) for $10.4k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Pistons, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Heat wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.7%
- As American odds
- −103 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 10:56 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Pistons
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ArielFilipino
- Tx
- 0xa1025857…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-27.2 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsHeat price · entry 51¢ · resolved Pistons
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.