← Wallets
+$154Nurullo Aliev · avg 49¢ → 50¢ · $15.2k−$159Yes · avg 59¢ → 57¢ · $7,245+$27Aaron Pico · avg 57¢ → 57¢ · $3,135
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +24.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+24.5 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$112.9k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$11.2k
Last 30 days −$10.9k · $1.31M volume · 1,102 trades · since Oct 06, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$279.6k
Open P&L · 28 positions
−$275.3k
Closed-position win rate
91%
33 closed
Wallet age · markets
18d
64 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.0 | +24.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) | LOW BUY @ 73¢ | $49.3k 3.6× usual |
pending |
 UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | LOW BUY Nurullo Aliev @ 49¢ | $14.1k | pending |
 Spread: Celtics (-2.5) | LOW BUY Celtics @ 52¢ | $10.4k | called |
 LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | LOW BUY Team Secret Whales @ 42¢ | $10.5k | missed |
 Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $13.6k | called |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 40¢ | $15.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x84ec4b…