← Wallets
−$75Under · avg 93.1¢ → 91.7¢ · $4,914+$12Under · avg 89¢ → 90¢ · $2,175
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did -16.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 2 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
-16.6 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
2.5
Flagged volume
$58.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$15.2k
Last 30 days −$16.5k · $140.7k volume · 18 trades · since Oct 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,272
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$18.8k
Closed-position win rate
70%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
2d
16 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 2.5 | -16.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | MED BUY FUT Esports @ 70¢ | $10.4k | Missed |
| Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Katerina Siniakova | MED BUY Katerina Siniakova @ 51¢ | $10.0k | OpenAwaiting resolution |
| Liu vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 22.5 | MED BUY Under @ 51¢ | $12.2k | OpenAwaiting resolution |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 5.5 | MED BUY Under @ 90.2¢ | $15.0k | Called |
| Arsenal WFC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 | MED BUY Over @ 90¢ | $11.0k | Called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3ede72…