WhaleGrader Account
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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

OpenAwaiting resolution
$12.2k

Liu vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 22.5

Adolfjr1488 bought Under at 51¢. The price gave that side a 51% chance. 23,871 shares, Oct 29, 00:48 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on Under, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Adolfjr1488 bought Under for $12.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied 51% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 2 of 3 on graded bets, -16.6 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.2k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.0 pts
Under price · entry 51¢ · now 50¢
26¢41¢56¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $12.2k WHALE $12.2K @ 51¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules