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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$10.4k

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Adolfjr1488 bought FUT Esports at 70¢. The price gave that side a 70% chance. 14,929 shares, Oct 29, 01:23 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on FUT Esports, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Adolfjr1488 bought FUT Esports for $10.4k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied 70% for the side they took. The market resolved Nemiga, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 2 of 3 on graded bets, -16.6 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $10.4k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletSports
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if FUT Esports wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -70 pts
FUT Esports price · entry 70¢ · resolved Nemiga
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $10.4k WHALE $10.4K @ 70¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

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