← Wallets
−$2,000Yes · avg 53¢ → 33¢ · $3,300+$250Yes · avg 23¢ → 26¢ · $2,550+$8Yes · avg 42¢ → 42¢ · $649−$85Legacy · avg 39¢ → 30¢ · $305
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +3.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+3.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$20.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$167.6k
Last 30 days −$29.4k · $12.58M volume · 12,986 trades · since Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.62M
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$45.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
926d
2131 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | +3.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $10.3k | called |
 Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xaebf3a…