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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Under, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Under @ 90.2¢ · 16,627 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet Adolfjr1488 took Under (buy) for $15.0k at an average 90.2¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $15.0k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−922American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90.2¢
- Implied odds
- 90.2%
- As American odds
- −922 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 09:42 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 13:45 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Adolfjr1488
- Tx
- 0xfd9cd651…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+10.1 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +10 ptsUnder price · entry 90.2¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules