← Wallets
−$80Yes · avg 79¢ → 76¢ · $2,184−$0Anyone's Legend · avg 64¢ → 64¢ · $57−$10Yes · avg 26¢ → 22¢ · $46+$10Yes · avg 71¢ → 94.5¢ · $40 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$5No · avg 73¢ → 85¢ · $33−$4Yes · avg 63¢ → 48¢ · $15+$3Yes · avg 67¢ → 88¢ · $13−$2Yes · avg 64¢ → 56¢ · $13
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -50.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-50.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$28.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$51.8k
Last 30 days −$20.0k · $3.12M volume · 15,468 trades · since Jul 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$238.9k
Open P&L · 45 positions
−$114
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
104d
7464 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -50.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $28.6k | missed |
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