← Live flags
Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Missed
$15.9k
Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
0x2c33…0563 bought Over at 51¢. The price gave that side a 51% chance. 31,254 shares, Oct 28, 11:57 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $15.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 bought Over for $15.9k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied 51% for the side they took. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 2 of 4 on graded bets, +4.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
Size ≥ $10kSports
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsOver price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysDFB-Pokal - Holstein Kiel 5 - 4 HoffenheimOneFootball · Google News · 39m agoHolstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim Lineups - DFB Pokal 2026/27BeSoccer Livescore · Google News · 3h agoHolstein Kiel knock Hoffenheim out of DFB-Pokal on pensKarloBag.eu · Google News · 10h agoHolstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim: German DFB Pokal stats & head-to-headBBC · Google News · 11h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $12.0k | Missed |