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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$12.0k

Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5

UpTheBlues bought Over at 51¢. The price gave that side a 51% chance. 23,473 shares, Oct 28, 11:53 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet UpTheBlues bought Over for $12.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied 51% for the side they took. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, -22.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.0k+0
Size ≥ $10kSports
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Over price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $12.0k WHALE $12.0K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ $15.9k51% 0x2c33…056319h agoMissed