WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Wallets

lfg100k

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.6 wins, so it did +34.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+34.3 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
2.6
Flagged volume
$407.6k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$154.5k
Last 30 days +$190.4k · $7.43M volume · 2,188 trades · since Apr 10, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.34M
Open P&L · 124 positions
−$564.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
197d
816 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports442.6+34.3 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ $15.0k80% 3d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ $40.0k
2.5× usual
63% 6d agocalled
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)MED BUY FC Barcelona @ 47¢ $81.9k
5.2× usual
47% 7d agoexcluded
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 4 WinnerLOW BUY Team WE @ 47¢ $14.0k47% 7d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $11.0k72% 10d agocalled
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerLOW BUY KT Rolster @ 72¢ $12.0k72% 12d agoexcluded
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ $16.0k71% 19d agocalled
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ $15.6k31% 20d agomissed
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?MED BUY Yes @ 69¢ $32.0k
2.0× usual
69% 20d agocalled
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ $27.0k48% 26d agocalled
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.9k0% 34d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% 34d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $11.9k75% 34d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ $15.0k73% 34d agoexcluded
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLOW SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ $41.4k
2.6× usual
0% 48d agoexcluded
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLOW BUY Invictus Gaming @ 60¢ $25.0k60% 49d agocalled
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $13.3k68% 66d agoexcluded

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xd3911bd5e070c9ad9a9519c966347802d8f3b109"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xd3911bd5e070c9ad9a9519c966347802d8f3b109.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd3911b…