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What this means. A wallet put $21.4k on Over, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.4k
BUY Over @ 53¢ · 40,390 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x6daa…954a took Over (buy) for $21.4k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $21.4k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 21:27 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6daa…954a
- Tx
- 0x975f303f…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-53.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsOver price · entry 53¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules