← Live flags
Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Missed
$36.4k
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
mooseborzoii bought Thunder at 50¢. The price gave that side a 50% chance. 72,882 shares, 2 fills, Oct 28, 18:50 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $36.4k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoii bought Thunder for $36.4k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied 50% for the side they took. The market resolved Mavericks, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 1 of 2 on graded bets, +2.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $36.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsThunder price · entry 50¢ · resolved Mavericks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 49¢ | $22.1k | Excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Mavericks @ 52¢ | $25.0k | Called |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Mavericks @ 53¢ | $10.6k | Called |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Mavericks @ 50¢ | $17.1k | Called |