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What this means. A wallet put $22.1k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market resolved Mavericks, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Excluded
$22.1k
BUY Thunder @ 49¢ · 45,149 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet yabanci took Thunder (buy) for $22.1k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Mavericks. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $22.1k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 21:43 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Mavericks
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- yabanci
- Tx
- 0xe1302dc6…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-70.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsThunder price · entry 49¢ · resolved Mavericks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Mavericks @ 52¢ | $25.0k | Called |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Mavericks @ 53¢ | $10.6k | Called |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | MED BUY Thunder @ 50¢ | $36.4k 2.8× usual |
Missed |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Mavericks @ 50¢ | $17.1k | Called |