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+$71Ravens · avg 53¢ → 54¢ · $7,637+$20Yes · avg 40¢ → 44¢ · $249+$5Yes · avg 40¢ → 42¢ · $142−$31Yes · avg 22¢ → 13¢ · $51
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +47.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+47.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$24.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$261.6k
Last 30 days +$162.2k · $4.07M volume · 4,940 trades · since Dec 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$827.2k
Open P&L · 162 positions
−$561.1k
Closed-position win rate
83%
225 closed
Wallet age · markets
313d
383 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +47.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | LOW SELL Spurs @ 52¢ | $13.5k | Excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | LOW BUY Mavericks @ 53¢ | $10.6k | Called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x54ce7d…