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Weekly report card

Week 2026-24

Jun 08, 00:00 EDT – Jun 14, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
-14.9 pts
Called
188/434
Expected from price
252.8
Std. error
±2.1

In week 2026-24, 434 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 188 times; entry prices implied 252.8. Whales did no better than the price (-14.9 pts). One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports308156163.7-2.5 pts
Other1263289.2-45.4 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ $1.09M
3.1× usual
52% 0x8cb4…1057131d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursHIGH BUY Knicks @ 36¢ $718.5k
3.1× usual
36% Latina132d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 87¢ $509.6k
2.6× usual
87% aekghas144d agomissed
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?HIGH BUY No @ 43¢ $451.5k43% LEEEROYJENKINS132d agocalled
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?HIGH BUY No @ 54¢ $438.0k
6.9× usual
54% weflyhigh PROVEN132d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 85¢ $400.0k
2.1× usual
85% aekghas133d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?HIGH BUY Yes @ 46¢ $383.0k46% 0x8cb4…1057133d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 88¢ $373.0k88% aekghas141d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 96.3¢ $346.8k
12.3× usual
96% EB99999135d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?HIGH BUY Yes @ 80¢ $321.4k80% Ryan888138d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 88¢ $300.0k88% aekghas143d agomissed
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?HIGH BUY No @ 49¢ $294.5k49% escfnlock131d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 87¢ $291.6k87% aekghas144d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksHIGH BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $283.1k54% Latina138d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksHIGH BUY Spurs @ 46¢ $260.1k46% skk1ch138d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 65¢ $250.0k65% 0xb6d6…be17132d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Spurs @ 45¢ $244.3k
3.8× usual
45% ThisAgain139d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 86¢ $206.2k86% aekghas144d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED BUY No @ 51¢ $196.9k51% doraem0n134d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ $180.5k
6.0× usual
66% AgricultureSecretary131d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED BUY No @ 51¢ $168.3k51% doraem0n134d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Spurs @ 46¢ $139.7k
6.0× usual
46% beet420140d agocalled
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 79¢ $135.7k
4.1× usual
79% Pajamapants137d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED BUY No @ 54¢ $123.8k54% Sparkling8899134d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $120.2k
7.8× usual
54% one8tyfive136d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED BUY Yes @ 47¢ $117.5k
6.7× usual
47% 0x5375…aeea134d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED BUY No @ 51¢ $115.8k51% blackmamba6969135d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 84¢ $106.3k
3.2× usual
84% Pajamapants135d agocalled
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5MED BUY Under @ 55¢ $106.2k
2.2× usual
55% Kch-Temp PROVEN132d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 78¢ $101.8k78% aekghas132d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Spurs @ 47¢ $101.0k
4.3× usual
47% Feromont137d agocalled
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Spurs @ 47¢ $100.0k
3.0× usual
47% AV23IUa PROVEN137d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 77¢ $100.0k77% 0x0a09…f5a6133d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED BUY No @ 53¢ $99.7k53% zzz888999134d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ $98.0k
4.8× usual
64% tetrase131d agocalled
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY No @ 81¢ $97.8k
3.8× usual
81% 0F62 PROVEN134d agocalled
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?MED BUY No @ 44¢ $96.2k44% athelstan133d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 77¢ $94.9k77% aekghas132d agomissed
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY No @ 82¢ $94.2k
3.7× usual
82% 0F62 PROVEN132d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $94.0k47% 0xe22a…2703133d agocalled
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $94.0k
3.3× usual
47% 0x5f65…2036132d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ $93.5k71% BrazilianMemer131d agocalled
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $92.6k54% Huanhuan136d agocalled
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $92.0k46% 0xc67a…f0b6134d agocalled
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 79¢ $83.3k79% 0x7815…2ed1 NEW138d agocalled
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ $77.3k
3.0× usual
82% 0F62 PROVEN133d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $72.3k95% badbbd138d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 92.2¢ $71.9k92% badbbd137d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW BUY No @ 53¢ $70.6k53% caicai888888134d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ $70.0k
2.5× usual
46% 0x5f65…2036133d agocalled
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ $69.5k82% 0xcbf6…a8cc134d agocalled
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 59¢ $67.7k59% CandleHammerDrums133d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Spurs @ 47¢ $67.6k47% spaceBob4137d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ $67.0k
2.5× usual
65% Clicker1131d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $66.7k
2.2× usual
95% Batundi137d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 65¢ $65.0k
3.0× usual
65% AppleTime67135d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ $64.4k
2.5× usual
81% 0F62 PROVEN133d agocalled
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Spurs @ 46¢ $64.3k46% 0x594d…059d139d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $62.6k95% 0xd640…480c139d agomissed
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY No @ 78¢ $61.1k78% 0x7815…2ed1 NEW137d agocalled
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $60.5k54% pm2626 NEW136d agocalled
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $59.1k64% 0x8cb4…1057132d agocalled
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY No @ 81¢ $59.1k
2.3× usual
81% 0F62 PROVEN133d agocalled
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $59.0k
2.4× usual
54% 0xebe5…b317137d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $58.1k95% badbbd138d agomissed
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?MED BUY Yes @ 58¢ $57.7k58% AV23IUa PROVEN132d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $57.0k95% badbbd138d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW BUY No @ 54¢ $54.0k54% Gourmet1133d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $54.0k
3.7× usual
54% 0xcf60…a6f5137d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 87¢ $52.6k87% 0xg304yj0134d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 65¢ $52.0k
2.2× usual
65% Feromont132d agomissed
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW SELL Yes @ 64¢ $51.3k
3.7× usual
36% qqq89146d agocalled
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ $50.9k
2.5× usual
78% Hyperlong134d agocalled
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED SELL Yes @ 79¢ $50.6k
4.4× usual
21% thebug44140d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ $50.0k80% 0xddf4…2680135d agocalled
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsMED BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 43¢ $50.0k43% Talvez10 PROVEN137d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Spurs @ 47¢ $50.0k47% AV23IUa PROVEN136d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $50.0k79% 0xddf4…2680139d agocalled
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ $50.0k
2.4× usual
82% cezarn132132d agocalled
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ $49.9k52% doraem0n133d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ $49.5k82% 0F62 PROVEN133d agocalled
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ $49.4k59% Oneger133d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Knicks @ 36¢ $48.9k36% Hugewinner133d agocalled
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?LOW BUY No @ 50¢ $48.7k50% CryptoScam132d agomissed
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 69¢ $48.3k69% Sassy-Bucket134d agocalled
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsMED BUY Miami Marlins @ 57¢ $47.5k
2.4× usual
57% Pwaddler137d agocalled
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ $47.5k32% NiNo999134d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ $47.1k22% Mentallyillgambld134d agomissed
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $47.0k47% hansama231133d agocalled
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ $47.0k50% Kch-Temp PROVEN132d agocalled
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $46.3k64% AWice146d agomissed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ $45.5k80% 0xdc71…d033140d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 50¢ $45.5k
2.4× usual
50% rocks131d agocalled
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $45.0k47% Vatrer141d agomissed
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY No @ 74¢ $44.6k74% Countryside151d agocalled
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ $44.2k66% 0x4047…d46c135d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Spurs @ 46¢ $44.2k46% sometingwite135d agomissed
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?LOW BUY No @ 44¢ $44.0k44% gardenshed133d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3MED SELL Team Falcons @ 77¢ $43.2k
2.1× usual
23% NS13133d agomissed
Spurs vs. KnicksMED BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $43.2k54% THEdirkdiggler136d agocalled

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Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.