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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY Yes @ 80¢ · 62,268 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xddf4…2680 took Yes (buy) for $50.0k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−408American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 80.3%
- As American odds
- −408 no vig
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 14:04 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 02:38 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xddf4…2680
- Tx
- 0x0e67df57…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+10.9 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +20 ptsYes price · entry 80¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $225.1k 4.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |