Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $2.19M 60 flags |
$375.7k 1 wallet |
$11.7k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $1.17M 45 flags |
none | none |
| No | $312.4k 12 flags |
none | $84.3k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $80.2k 4 flags |
none | $38.9k 1 wallet |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $225.1k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ | $39.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.7¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ | $195.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $35.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $18.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $50.0k 2.4× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $11.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $21.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $13.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $10.7k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $25.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $18.1k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $77.3k 3.0× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $64.4k 2.5× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $30.7k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $49.5k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $69.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $17.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $55.3k 2.6× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $50.9k 2.5× usual |
called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $47.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $16.3k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $27.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $50.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $17.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $21.2k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $106.3k 3.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $21.3k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $19.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $25.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $18.3k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 62¢ | $33.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 62¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 62¢ | $16.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 62¢ | $31.5k 2.3× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $21.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $17.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $12.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $12.9k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $11.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $11.9k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $135.7k 4.1× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $321.4k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $32.1k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $83.3k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $23.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $50.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $12.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 22¢ | $21.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $23.2k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $24.3k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $50.6k 4.4× usual |
missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $31.6k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $19.3k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 21¢ | $33.8k 2.7× usual |
missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $24.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $15.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $45.5k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $35.4k 2.7× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $16.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $22.6k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $26.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢ | $15.6k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢ | $42.8k 3.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 51¢ | $19.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 46¢ | $11.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $30.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 53¢ | $20.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $11.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $16.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 63¢ | $38.5k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 37¢ | $30.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $21.2k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢ | $25.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $15.8k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $24.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $11.7k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $12.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $15.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $13.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $18.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢ | $11.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $12.6k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢ | $16.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 35¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $10.5k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 32¢ | $32.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $57.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $12.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 29¢ | $10.3k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 71¢ | $38.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $21.3k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 87¢ | $47.3k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $16.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 90.3¢ | $14.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 90.8¢ | $20.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $19.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.2¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $12.1k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 121 whale trades on this market totalling $3.75M from 80 wallets. The largest was $321.4k (buy Yes at 80¢). Most whale money ($2.19M) went to Yes. 64 of 121 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0F62 ($375.7k), has called 30 of 33 graded flags overall (+6.4 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-the-new-york-knicks-win-the-2026-nba-finals).