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+$6,680Yes · avg 77¢ → 93.5¢ · $38.3k · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +20.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+20.3 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$10.67M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$17.9k
Last 30 days +$5,909 · $17.12M volume · 302 trades · since Nov 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$77.0k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$91.9k
Closed-position win rate
46%
72 closed
Wallet age · markets
721d
56 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +20.3 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x20bcdf…