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What this means. A wallet put $321.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$321.4k
BUY Yes @ 80¢ · 403,149 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Ryan888 took Yes (buy) for $321.4k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $321.4k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−393American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 79.7%
- As American odds
- −393 no vig
- Size
- $321.4k
- Placed
- Jun 08, 07:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 02:38 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Ryan888
- Tx
- 0xbbac3e22…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+20.3 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +20 ptsYes price · entry 80¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $225.1k 4.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |